加拿大阿爾伯特大學Eric Foxall博士學術報告(四)

發布者:姜珍珍發布時間:2019-06-10瀏覽次數:549

報告題目:Social Contact Processes and the Partner Model

報告人:Dr Eric Foxall University of Alberta

報告時間:2019614日(星期五)上午9:00-11:00

報告地點:必一体育平台一樓報告廳

報告摘要:We consider a stochastic model of infection spread on the complete graph on vertices incorporating dynamic partnerships, which we assume to be monogamous. This can be seen as a variation on the contact process in which some form of edge dynamics determines the set of contacts at each moment in time. We identify a basic reproduction number  with the property that if  the infection dies out by time , while if  the infection survives for an amount of time  for some  and hovers around a uniquely determined metastable proportion of infectious individuals. The proof in both cases relies on comparison to a set of mean-field equations when the infection is widespread, and to a branching process when the infection is sparse.


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